NBA — 53–21 (71.6%)
Moneyline 11–0 (100%) · Spread 34–17 (66.7%) · Over/Under 8–4 (66.7%)
Track Record
The scoreboard the engine has to live with.
Every pick flagged as an EDGE is logged the moment the engine posts it, then graded the moment the game ends. No edits, no deletions, no cherry-picking.
Overall edge record
82–45 (64.6%) across 127 graded edge picks, counting moneyline, spread, and totals independently.
By sport
Sports appear here once they have at least 20 graded edge picks — below that, a win percentage is noise, not signal.
MLB — 23–18 (56.1%)
Moneyline 3–1 (75%) · Spread 10–9 (52.6%) · Over/Under 10–8 (55.6%)
Does higher confidence actually win more?
Confidence is a calibrated probability, so higher-conviction picks should win more often. Here is whether they do — across every graded moneyline call, not just edge picks.
High conviction (70%+) — 215–70 (75.4%)
Medium conviction (60–69%) — 431–298 (59.1%)
Low conviction (52–59%) — 601–481 (55.5%)
Recently graded edge picks
The newest graded results, straight from the log. Pending picks never appear here — only finished games.
MLB · BAL @ DET — LOSS
ATS: DET · 2026-07-27
MLB · LAA @ SF — WIN
ATS: SF · 2026-07-26
MLB · TOR @ BOS — LOSS
ATS: BOS · 2026-07-25
MLB · ARI @ WSH — LOSS
O/U: Over · 2026-07-24
MLB · CHW @ TEX — LOSS
ATS: CHW · 2026-07-21
MLB · ATH @ ARI — WIN
ML: ARI · 2026-07-21
MLB · ATH @ ARI — WIN
O/U: Over · 2026-07-21
MLB · CHW @ TEX — WIN
ATS: CHW · 2026-07-20
MLB · TEX @ ATL — WIN
O/U: Over · 2026-07-19
MLB · TB @ BOS — WIN
ATS: BOS · 2026-07-18
MLB · TEX @ ATL — WIN
O/U: Over · 2026-07-17
MLB · PHI @ DET — LOSS
ATS: DET · 2026-07-12
MLB · SEA @ TB — WIN
ATS: TB · 2026-07-11
MLB · CLE @ MIA — WIN
ATS: MIA · 2026-07-10
MLB · ATL @ PIT — LOSS
ATS: PIT · 2026-07-09
MLB · SEA @ MIA — WIN
ATS: MIA · 2026-07-08
MLB · LAA @ TEX — WIN
O/U: Over · 2026-07-07
MLB · KC @ NYM — WIN
O/U: Over · 2026-07-07
MLB · SEA @ MIA — WIN
ATS: MIA · 2026-07-07
MLB · NYY @ TB — LOSS
ATS: TB · 2026-07-06
MLB · TOR @ SEA — WIN
O/U: Under · 2026-07-05
MLB · STL @ CHC — LOSS
ATS: STL · 2026-07-05
MLB · MIA @ ATH — WIN
ATS: MIA · 2026-07-03
MLB · TB @ KC — WIN
ML: TB · 2026-07-02
MLB · PIT @ PHI — WIN
O/U: Over · 2026-07-01
How this record is kept honest
Logged at post, graded at final
A pick enters the log the moment the engine publishes it. When the game ends, it is graded against the actual result. There is no window to edit, re-frame, or quietly drop a pick.
PASS is not a loss — and not a win
When the engine finds no value against the line it returns a PASS, and passes are excluded from the record entirely. Only recommended picks count. See what PASS means.
Small samples are labeled, not hidden behind percentages
A sport only gets a public win rate once it has 20+ graded edge picks. Short-term streaks — hot or cold — are noise; the long-run aggregate is the signal. Past performance never guarantees future results.
See how the picks are made
The full methodology behind every projection is public — the five-anchor model, per-sport math, and the PASS discipline.